The Bulletin
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One in 1,000 years? Old flood probabilities no longer hold water

  • Written by John Quiggin, Professor, School of Economics, The University of Queensland
One in 1,000 years? Old flood probabilities no longer hold waterMick Tsikas/AAP

Australia’s catastrophic east coast floods have been described by the NSW premier as a “one in 1,000-year event, a term that has created a great deal of confusion.

Lengthy explanations that these terms are not the same as "occurring 1,000 years apart” or “once every 1,000 years” have only added to the...

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