commissioned poll has Liberals likely short of majority
- Written by Adrian Beaumont, Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

The Tasmanian election will be held on Saturday, with polls closing at 6pm AEST. A uComms poll for the left-wing Australia Institute, conducted April 21 from a sample of 1,023, gave the Liberals 41.4%, Labor 32.1%, the Greens 12.4%, Independents 11.0% and Others 3.1%.
This poll is in marked contrast to the last publicly available...
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